S-400

Zice că, până la urmă, Turcia nu s-a sucit. Încă.

For starters: Patriot is NOT equivalent of the S-400 with S-400 being superior in its key performance characteristics. Secondly, I agree with Trump in a sense that “you can’t do business like that” and this has nothing to do with Turkey but with the United States which is now in full economic warfare and political bullying with most of the world. The inevitable question thus–who in their mind would do business with the country which is ungovernable and both has no competitive systems to offer and may stop (or disable) their procurement any moment? Only spineless Europeans, maybe. India was explicit in basically telling the US to mind its own business re: India’s $5 billion contract with Russia for S-400. Pakistan, India, many others, including Gulfies want S-400 and other Russian weapon systems. We know what the United States will do–she will try to sabotage any Russia’s effort across the whole spectrum of international economic activity, be that Nord Stream-2 or arms trade.

For Turkey, however, it seems, S-400 is not just military or, inevitably, geopolitical reorientation issue, with Ankara beginning to understand where her real interests lie. In the end, Turkey sees on the horizon the access to technology transfer not only for S-400 (its export version, of course) but eventually for export versions of SU-35, SU-57 and, inevitably, S-500 and who knows what else. So, there is a lot to be taken in at this moment but as I said many times, Russia has the ability and instruments for defense of larger Eurasia, plus, in Turkey’s case, deliveries and deployment of S-400 boost Turkey’s regional standing, including in disputes with Greece and Cyprus. It is enough to look at the map of the region to understand why S-400 changes Turkey’s status in Eastern Mediterranean.

Desigur, noi fiind de partea bună a istoriei, Sultanul sinucide strategic Turcia. Acțiune de pe urma cărora noi vom deveni (nu suntem deja?!) “miezul”.

Turcia, unul din cei mai importanti aliati NATO, o punte cruciala intre Europa si Orientul Mijlociu, a inceput procesul lent dar sigur de sinucidere strategica. In ciuda tuturor avertismentelor SUA si a nemultumirii aliatilor, presedintele Recep Tayyip Erdogan, un islamist cu accese autoritare, a insistat ca Turcia sa se doteze cu rachete rusesti S-400.

Acest sistem este incompatibil cu o serie de valori aliate, pune in pericol o serie de programe aliate de inzestrare, redefineste realitatea militara in bazinul Marii Negre si in tot arealul Sud-Estic al NATO.

Introducerea sistemului S-400 operat cu ajutorul ofiterilor Moscovei inseamna o uriasa vulnerabilitate pentru alte sisteme de aparare si tehnologii militare standard NATO din Turcia.

Alunecarea Turciei, aliat valoros pana acum, pe mana lui Erdogan spre islamism si cooperare militara cu Rusia, creaza un context strategic nou favorabil Romaniei.

Tara noastra ar putea deveni cel mai relevant actor aliat in bazinul Marii Negre si un hub militar de anvergura in proiectarea capacitatilor SUA si NATO atat pe Flancul de Est cat si spre Orientul Mijlociu.

Prin efort national si aliat, prin investitii de amploare ale Departamentului American al Apararii in Romania, tara noastra devine incet dar sigur un reper esential de crestere a relevantei militare pe fondul dezangajarii Turciei.

Prin European Deterrence Initiative (fost ERI), SUA investesc sute de milioane de dolari in Romania. Bazele aeriene de la Mihail Kogalniceanu si Campia Turzii sunt destinatiile principale. Capacitatile de la Mihail Kogalniceanu vor cunoaste dezvoltari solide in perioada imediat urmatoare, in perspectiva unor evolutii militare anticipate, de nivel major.

Romania este deja gazda celei mai mari investitii militare americane din toata Europa de Est : 1 miliard de dolari pentru Sistemul antiracheta de la Deveselu.

Sistemul de rachete Patriot urmeaza sa fie livrat si operational in prima faza de anul viitor. Alte surprize interesante se pregatesc pentru intarirea apararii Romaniei, ca o componenta esentiala a apararii NATO pe Flancul de Est.

Ca sa citez o sursa NATO : ce se pierde in Turcia se castiga in Romania. Alianta nu-si poate permite nici o vulnerabilizare in zona atat de provocata a bazinului Marii Negre, acolo unde Rusia a demonstrat deja cat este de periculoasa militar si de imprevizibila.

“Uau!” și “Auci!”

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